Bergnäsets vs Lucksta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.3%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
11.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
50
1º
8º
3º
22
7º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
81% | |
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
2º
|
81% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
84.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 25 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
63% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 63% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 37% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergnäsets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TAF
1 - 2
BER
22%
21%
56%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
BER
3 - 1
OST
33%
22%
44%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +3 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
THO
2 - 0
BER
83%
12%
6%
|
32 | 49 | 17 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BER
0 - 6
BOD
16%
21%
63%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -3 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GIF
2 - 0
BER
32%
23%
45%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Lucksta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LUC
3 - 4
SKE
16%
18%
66%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KFF
2 - 0
LUC
38%
22%
40%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
TAF
3 - 1
LUC
41%
22%
37%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LUC
1 - 4
GIF
35%
22%
43%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LUC
1 - 1
OST
20%
19%
61%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |