Bergnäsets vs IFK Luleå analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
39.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
6º
10º
9º
22
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
29 | 29 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
28 | 28 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
22 | 22 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
21 | 21 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 15 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
13 | 13 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
12 | 12 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
11 | 11 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
8 | 8 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergnäsets
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2025 |
BOD
2 - 1
BER
55%
21%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2025 |
BER
0 - 0
BFC
87%
9%
4%
|
35 | 12 | 23 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
BER
2 - 1
PIT
14%
20%
67%
|
31 | 50 | 19 | +4 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
KFF
1 - 2
BER
27%
22%
52%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
SKE
4 - 1
BER
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
IFK Luleå
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2025 |
IFK
2 - 2
PIT
20%
22%
58%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
KFF
2 - 1
IFK
15%
18%
67%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2025 |
IFK
0 - 0
SKE
32%
25%
44%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2025 |
BFC
0 - 2
IFK
10%
15%
75%
|
38 | 13 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2025 |
BOD
0 - 2
IFK
57%
22%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |