Bergisch Gladbach vs Siegburger SV 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
6º
5º
39
6º
15º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 99.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VFL
3 - 0
BER
62%
20%
18%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
BER
5 - 3
SFB
25%
22%
53%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MER
1 - 3
BER
16%
20%
64%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
PES
2 - 2
BER
26%
23%
51%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BER
0 - 3
SCF
53%
22%
25%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
SIE
1 - 0
FVE
80%
13%
7%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
SIE
3 - 2
ENG
42%
24%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
SIE
2 - 0
VFL
17%
21%
62%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +4 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SCF
0 - 0
SIE
61%
19%
20%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
SPV
1 - 4
SIE
31%
22%
47%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | +1 |