Bergisch Gladbach vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
53.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
DIE
3 - 1
BER
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
BER
0 - 1
VER
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
VEL
3 - 1
BER
37%
24%
39%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
BER
2 - 1
ROT
22%
24%
55%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | +3 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
SPO
2 - 0
BER
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
KÖL
0 - 1
FOR
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
ROT
2 - 1
KÖL
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
DIE
1 - 2
KÖL
43%
25%
32%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
KÖL
0 - 0
VER
53%
24%
23%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
KÖL
4 - 2
MSV
74%
17%
10%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |