Bergisch Gladbach vs Fortuna Köln analysis

Bergisch Gladbach Fortuna Köln
33 ELO 47
-5.7% Tilt 5.7%
4686º General ELO ranking 2438º
218º Country ELO ranking 95º
ELO win probability
18.2%
Bergisch Gladbach
21.8%
Draw
60%
Fortuna Köln

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.2%
Win probability
Bergisch Gladbach
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60%
Win probability
Fortuna Köln
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bergisch Gladbach
-6%
-8%
Fortuna Köln

ELO progression

Bergisch Gladbach
Fortuna Köln
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bergisch Gladbach
Bergisch Gladbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2010
SPE
Speldorf
1 - 0
Bergisch Gladbach
BER
37%
25%
37%
31 29 2 0
28 Feb. 2010
SCH
Schermbeck
3 - 0
Bergisch Gladbach
BER
31%
25%
44%
33 28 5 -2
13 Dec. 2009
VEL
Velbert
3 - 3
Bergisch Gladbach
BER
43%
24%
33%
34 30 4 -1
06 Dec. 2009
WHE
Westfalia Herne
1 - 1
Bergisch Gladbach
BER
58%
22%
20%
34 38 4 0
29 Nov. 2009
BER
Bergisch Gladbach
2 - 2
Germania Windeck
GEW
33%
26%
42%
34 42 8 0

Matches

Fortuna Köln
Fortuna Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Mar. 2010
SPO
Siegen Sportfreunde
3 - 3
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
22%
23%
55%
47 33 14 0
28 Feb. 2010
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
0 - 2
Hüls
HUL
74%
16%
10%
48 30 18 -1
11 Dec. 2009
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
2 - 1
Sprockhövel
SPR
81%
13%
6%
48 19 29 0
06 Dec. 2009
KÖL
Fortuna Köln
4 - 0
Schermbeck
SCH
79%
14%
7%
48 26 22 0
29 Nov. 2009
MSV
MSV Duisburg II
2 - 3
Fortuna Köln
KÖL
35%
23%
42%
48 38 10 0