Bergisch Gladbach vs BCV Glesch-Paffendorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.6%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.6%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
6º
5º
0
10º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
83.5% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 62 |
3º
|
60% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 61 |
4º
|
62% | |
|
|
5º
|
52 | 58 |
5º
|
84% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
97% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 42 |
7º
|
78.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 38 |
8º
|
39% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 38 |
9º
|
36% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 37 |
10º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 36 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
31 | 35 |
12º
|
47.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 27 |
14º
|
63% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
74% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 14 |
16º
|
76% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 10% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 90% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergisch Gladbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
USC
0 - 1
BER
29%
21%
50%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BER
0 - 2
SPF
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
FVE
0 - 1
BER
7%
14%
80%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2023 |
BER
0 - 6
KOL
5%
12%
83%
|
43 | 84 | 41 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
SIE
1 - 3
BER
23%
22%
56%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
BCV Glesch-Paffendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
BGP
0 - 0
SIE
36%
23%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
VFL
2 - 2
BGP
88%
8%
4%
|
26 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
BGP
0 - 4
SCF
31%
22%
48%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SPV
1 - 0
BGP
12%
16%
71%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BGP
2 - 2
HUR
36%
22%
41%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |