Bergheim vs SV Schwarzach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
57.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.4%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
14º
14º
30
5º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 58 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Possible next round
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PUC
1 - 0
BER
42%
21%
37%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
BER
2 - 4
STR
48%
22%
30%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BER
2 - 3
BRA
21%
21%
58%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
UFV
7 - 2
BER
84%
10%
6%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
BER
1 - 6
TSV
23%
21%
56%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
SV Schwarzach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
SVS
2 - 0
SKA
29%
22%
50%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
ALT
4 - 1
SVS
14%
18%
68%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | -2 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
SVS
0 - 1
BUR
20%
20%
60%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
SAL
0 - 1
SVS
27%
22%
51%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2022 |
SVS
0 - 4
USC
13%
16%
71%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | -1 |