Bergerac vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
36.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
AVI
0 - 1
BER
31%
25%
44%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BER
4 - 0
AST
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
TRE
2 - 1
BER
51%
25%
24%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
CHA
3 - 2
BER
63%
21%
16%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -2 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
BER
1 - 1
ALB
48%
26%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
TOU
3 - 2
BLA
54%
25%
21%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 3
TOU
29%
26%
44%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
TOU
3 - 1
SAI
59%
24%
17%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
ROD
2 - 1
TOU
36%
27%
37%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
TOU
1 - 1
SAG
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |