Bergerac vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.5%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
75%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
13.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
FON
3 - 0
BER
47%
25%
28%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
BER
3 - 2
NAN
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
BER
2 - 2
ROD
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2016 |
LOR
1 - 1
BER
36%
27%
37%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
BER
2 - 0
VIT
53%
25%
22%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
AMI
2 - 1
LEN
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
LEN
1 - 3
NÎM
50%
27%
24%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2017 |
TOU
2 - 3
LEN
31%
26%
43%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
LEN
2 - 0
MET
42%
27%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2016 |
LEN
2 - 1
GAZ
46%
29%
25%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |