Bergerac U19 vs Stade Brestois U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.9%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.1%
61%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+461%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
12º
14º
14º
34
3º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
ANG
23%
22%
56%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AVR
3 - 3
BER
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
BER
4 - 1
TOU
25%
20%
55%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 2024 |
BER
0 - 2
LAV
18%
19%
63%
|
17 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
SRS
4 - 3
BER
14%
18%
68%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Stade Brestois U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
STA
2 - 2
LAV
51%
23%
27%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2024 |
STA
1 - 3
PSV
52%
24%
24%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
SRS
1 - 1
STA
14%
18%
69%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
STA
3 - 0
REN
37%
23%
39%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Nov. 2024 |
FCB
2 - 0
STA
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | -1 |