Bergerac U19 vs SA Mérignac U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
51.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+461%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
12º
14º
14º
20
6º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 50% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 50% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
LOR
4 - 1
BER
79%
13%
8%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BER
0 - 2
STA
19%
20%
61%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
ANG
23%
22%
56%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
AVR
3 - 3
BER
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
BER
4 - 1
TOU
25%
20%
55%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
SA Mérignac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
SAM
1 - 1
LAV
19%
21%
60%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
SRS
0 - 2
SAM
19%
20%
61%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SAM
0 - 2
REN
20%
21%
60%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
SCB
7 - 1
SAM
29%
22%
49%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
SAM
0 - 4
NAN
21%
23%
57%
|
27 | 48 | 21 | -1 |