Bergerac U19 vs Lorient U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
74.6%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
10%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.7%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.4%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.6%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+461%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
12º
14º
14º
40
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 64 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 49 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 48 |
3º
|
46.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
40 | 47 |
4º
|
59.5% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 40 |
5º
|
48.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 39 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 38 |
7º
|
37% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 32 |
9º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 32 |
10º
|
48% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 24 |
11º
|
36.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 24 |
12º
|
23.5% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 21 |
13º
|
48% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 16 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 15% |
|
Mid-table
|
2% | 85% |
|
Relegation
|
98% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bergerac U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STA
0 - 1
BER
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 0
BER
83%
12%
6%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
BER
1 - 2
AVR
13%
19%
68%
|
9 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
GUI
3 - 0
BER
84%
11%
6%
|
9 | 30 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Lorient U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
1 - 0
LAV
58%
19%
23%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SRS
0 - 2
LOR
10%
15%
76%
|
38 | 10 | 28 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
LOR
3 - 2
REN
37%
22%
42%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SCB
1 - 0
LOR
9%
14%
78%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | -2 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
LOR
2 - 1
NAN
31%
24%
44%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |