IFK Berga vs IFK Trelleborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.9%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
12.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.3%
5.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
8º
13º
9º
27
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 63 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 62 |
2º
|
66.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
55% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 44 |
5º
|
55% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
82.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
82.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 17 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
IFK Berga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
RAP
5 - 1
BER
32%
23%
45%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
ATV
3 - 0
BER
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
BER
0 - 1
ATV
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
AST
3 - 3
BER
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
BER
1 - 0
LID
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
IFK Trelleborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 0
MAL
8%
14%
78%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
TRE
3 - 3
VIF
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
BIF
1 - 1
TRE
86%
10%
4%
|
14 | 76 | 62 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
TRE
2 - 3
AST
60%
20%
20%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
TRE
1 - 2
LBK
6%
11%
83%
|
15 | 49 | 34 | 0 |