Berga Cuiaba vs Cuiabá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
69.2%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.7%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.5%
0-4
4.8%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berga Cuiaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
BEC
1 - 5
OPE
7%
16%
77%
|
9 | 70 | 61 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2005 |
MIX
5 - 2
BEC
90%
8%
2%
|
9 | 65 | 56 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2005 |
BEC
2 - 4
STC
32%
24%
44%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
CUI
2 - 2
BEC
87%
9%
4%
|
9 | 58 | 49 | +1 |
Matches
Cuiabá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
OPE
1 - 3
CUI
63%
20%
16%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
CUI
6 - 2
MIX
32%
24%
44%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
STC
1 - 1
CUI
13%
19%
68%
|
58 | 28 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
CUI
2 - 2
BEC
87%
9%
4%
|
58 | 9 | 49 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
VIL
2 - 0
CUI
57%
21%
22%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |