Berga vs Avià analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18%
14.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
SBN
1 - 0
BER
72%
17%
12%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
TON
3 - 1
BER
68%
19%
13%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
BER
4 - 0
VIC
25%
23%
52%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
FRA
3 - 0
BER
58%
22%
20%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
MAT
1 - 0
BER
70%
17%
12%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Avià
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
UEA
0 - 2
MAT
29%
23%
48%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2018 |
UEA
1 - 2
PAR
10%
16%
74%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
TRO
2 - 4
UEA
49%
22%
28%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2017 |
UEA
3 - 1
GIR
37%
24%
39%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2017 |
OAR
2 - 1
UEA
50%
23%
27%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |