Berga vs Molletense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
23.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
TOR
4 - 2
BER
17%
19%
64%
|
14 | 7 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
BER
0 - 1
CDD
36%
22%
42%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
FRA
1 - 1
BER
43%
23%
35%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
BER
4 - 1
VIC
48%
21%
31%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2017 |
FCS
2 - 0
BER
32%
23%
45%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Molletense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2017 |
MOL
0 - 1
FCS
39%
24%
37%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
TRO
0 - 1
MOL
65%
19%
17%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
MOL
1 - 0
SAN
46%
23%
31%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
MOL
2 - 0
ROD
53%
22%
25%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MAT
2 - 1
MOL
73%
16%
12%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |