Berga vs Pueblo Nuevo 2002 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.8%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
16.8%
15.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+182%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
PUI
1 - 0
BER
22%
21%
57%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
BER
2 - 1
SPN
62%
18%
20%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
BER
25%
21%
54%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
BER
2 - 1
SUR
77%
13%
10%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
VIL
0 - 2
BER
21%
20%
60%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Pueblo Nuevo 2002
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SPN
1 - 1
PNU
56%
20%
25%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
PNU
2 - 0
SUR
56%
20%
24%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ART
2 - 2
PNU
34%
22%
44%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
PNU
0 - 0
CTR
58%
20%
21%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
FRU
3 - 1
PNU
21%
21%
59%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | -1 |