Berga vs Navàs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+126%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
LRO
1 - 2
BER
45%
21%
34%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BER
2 - 1
GIR
66%
19%
16%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 3
BER
22%
21%
57%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BER
2 - 0
VOL
69%
18%
14%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 3
BER
41%
23%
36%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Navàs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
NAV
3 - 1
VOL
56%
21%
22%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
3 - 2
NAV
34%
23%
43%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
NAV
2 - 5
SFC
33%
23%
45%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
FRA
1 - 2
NAV
26%
23%
51%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
NAV
0 - 0
MOL
44%
25%
32%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |