Berga vs Navàs analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.7%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.1%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.5%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
10.8%
6.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+176%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
PNU
2 - 6
BER
30%
22%
48%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
BER
1 - 0
PUI
76%
14%
10%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
SPN
1 - 3
BER
27%
21%
52%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BER
2 - 1
SAN
54%
21%
25%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
SUR
0 - 1
BER
29%
22%
49%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Navàs
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
NAV
3 - 3
PUI
44%
22%
35%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 2
NAV
69%
17%
15%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
NAV
5 - 2
VIL
31%
22%
47%
|
8 | 12 | 4 | +2 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
PIR
2 - 1
NAV
39%
22%
40%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NAV
2 - 1
CAR
44%
21%
35%
|
8 | 9 | 1 | +1 |