Berga vs Can Trias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
33.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
BER
2 - 1
CAR
68%
17%
15%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
FRU
3 - 1
BER
20%
21%
59%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | -2 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
BER
1 - 1
74%
15%
12%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
GIR
1 - 2
BER
14%
18%
68%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
BER
5 - 2
MAR
85%
10%
5%
|
15 | 7 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Can Trias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
FRU
2 - 3
CTR
26%
23%
51%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
CTR
5 - 0
GIR
84%
11%
5%
|
16 | 7 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 1
CTR
52%
22%
27%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
CTR
8 - 0
NAV
74%
15%
11%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
PUI
0 - 2
CTR
46%
23%
31%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | +1 |