Berg en Dal vs Mechelen U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
42.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+44%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
7º
16º
8º
43
4º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 65 |
1º
|
12% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 65 |
2º
|
12% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
91.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 46 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 44 |
7º
|
66% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
48.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
33.5% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
26.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
42% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
27 | 28 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 27 |
15º
|
82.5% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 34% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 66% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berg en Dal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
BED
2 - 2
WEL
59%
21%
19%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
RAC
1 - 3
BED
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2025 |
BED
0 - 1
DIE
26%
24%
50%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
RUP
0 - 1
BED
72%
17%
11%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BED
3 - 0
HAD
30%
26%
44%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Mechelen U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2025 |
MEC
1 - 2
HOU
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
ESP
3 - 2
MEC
23%
25%
53%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
MEC
4 - 1
BER
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MEC
3 - 0
RAC
44%
25%
32%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
TON
1 - 3
MEC
44%
26%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |