Beredi vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.9%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.1%
70.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
13.3%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Beredi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
ARE
2 - 0
BER
40%
24%
37%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
BER
2 - 2
MAN
21%
22%
56%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
CAM
2 - 0
BER
86%
10%
4%
|
7 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
BER
1 - 1
LDV
39%
22%
39%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
REA
7 - 0
BER
42%
25%
33%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2018 |
UCO
7 - 0
GUI
78%
14%
8%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
ARG
2 - 2
UCO
46%
24%
30%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
ARE
0 - 2
UCO
12%
20%
68%
|
16 | 8 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
UCO
3 - 1
MAN
68%
19%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2018 |
CAM
3 - 1
UCO
44%
24%
32%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | -1 |