Berco vs Belenenses SAD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
74.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
6.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8.3%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.7%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Berco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BSC
1 - 1
VIL
76%
14%
10%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
OSL
0 - 1
BSC
44%
23%
32%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +2 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 3
BSC
42%
23%
36%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BSC
2 - 1
JOA
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 19 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
BSC
0 - 0
SMA
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Belenenses SAD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 2
TON
48%
26%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2021 |
PAÇ
2 - 2
BEL
57%
26%
18%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 1
GFC
39%
28%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 0
BEL
66%
22%
12%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
BEL
1 - 1
MOR
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |