FK Berane vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
9º
3º
38
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
47% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
48% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Berane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
KOM
0 - 1
BER
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BER
0 - 0
MLJ
36%
26%
38%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ZET
1 - 0
BER
37%
26%
37%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
BER
1 - 0
GRB
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
BER
3 - 1
OFK
60%
21%
18%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
OUL
0 - 1
FKM
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
OUL
1 - 1
BOK
23%
28%
48%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
KOM
1 - 2
OUL
69%
19%
12%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 2
MLJ
18%
23%
59%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
OUL
2 - 1
ZET
24%
26%
50%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | +2 |