FK Berane vs Otrant Ulcinj analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
34.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
1º
9º
3º
38
5º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 61 |
1º
|
77% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 56 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 56 |
3º
|
28% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 54 |
4º
|
41% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 51 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 45 |
6º
|
12% | |
|
|
8º
|
38 | 45 |
7º
|
24.5% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 41 |
9º
|
39.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 39 |
10º
|
50.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
47% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
48% | 88.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 11.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FK Berane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
KOM
1 - 0
BER
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BER
1 - 0
MLJ
19%
23%
58%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
ZET
0 - 0
BER
67%
21%
13%
|
41 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
BER
0 - 1
GRB
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -2 |
| 24 May. 2022 |
FKM
3 - 1
BER
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Otrant Ulcinj
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 2
FKM
22%
25%
54%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
OUL
1 - 2
BOK
27%
29%
44%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
KOM
1 - 0
OUL
57%
23%
20%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
OUL
0 - 0
MLJ
23%
26%
51%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2020 |
OUL
4 - 3
MOR
33%
26%
41%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |