Bennekom vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.3%
10.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bennekom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BEN
2 - 1
DOV
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
TER
3 - 0
BEN
52%
24%
24%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
APE
1 - 2
BEN
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 5
BEN
41%
24%
34%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
BEN
1 - 0
HUI
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
AJA
5 - 0
ARC
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
ARC
1 - 1
APE
30%
21%
49%
|
28 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
ARC
2 - 4
ODI
43%
24%
34%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
DOV
2 - 0
ARC
70%
17%
13%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
ARC
1 - 5
TER
27%
21%
52%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |