Benjamin Aceval vs Fernando de la Mora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benjamin Aceval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
PET
0 - 0
BEN
46%
26%
28%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
BEN
0 - 1
SPT
44%
27%
28%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
BEN
5 - 1
PHA
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SPO
1 - 1
BEN
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
BEN
1 - 1
COL
39%
27%
35%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
FER
1 - 0
IND
30%
28%
43%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
CER
1 - 1
FER
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
FER
1 - 1
GEN
31%
29%
40%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
PHA
1 - 0
FER
50%
25%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
GEN
2 - 0
FER
52%
25%
23%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |