Benjamin Aceval vs Fernando de la Mora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benjamin Aceval
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
GEN
0 - 1
BEN
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
BEN
1 - 0
SPT
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
RÑU
1 - 0
BEN
60%
22%
17%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
FER
0 - 1
SPO
40%
27%
33%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2008 |
COL
2 - 3
FER
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
CER
2 - 1
FER
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
PET
1 - 0
FER
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
FER
2 - 0
MAR
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |