Benimamet vs Serranos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.2%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
3%
2-1
3%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.3%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
73.8%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.4%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.3%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benimamet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
TUR
1 - 0
BEN
73%
16%
11%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 2
TOR
33%
21%
47%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
MIS
4 - 0
BEN
85%
10%
5%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
BEN
0 - 2
CLU
16%
19%
65%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
LHY
2 - 1
BEN
60%
19%
21%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Serranos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
SER
0 - 0
TOR
60%
20%
20%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
MIS
1 - 1
SER
57%
21%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SER
1 - 2
CLU
40%
25%
36%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
LHY
0 - 0
SER
23%
21%
57%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
SER
0 - 4
CDC
35%
23%
42%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |