Benfica vs Varzim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.5%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.3%
7.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
PAÇ
1 - 3
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
SLB
1 - 0
SAN
75%
16%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
ACA
1 - 4
SLB
20%
22%
58%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2003 |
SLB
0 - 1
FCP
36%
25%
38%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2003 |
VST
2 - 6
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
84 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Varzim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 0
BMA
46%
27%
28%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
MAR
2 - 0
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 1
VIT
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2003 |
FCP
7 - 0
VAR
79%
15%
7%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
GFC
2 - 1
VAR
54%
23%
23%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |