Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
SPB
1 - 1
SLB
43%
25%
32%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SLB
1 - 1
SCP
48%
23%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
EST
1 - 2
SLB
29%
25%
47%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
SLB
6 - 0
AVE
87%
9%
4%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
SLB
4 - 0
TIR
91%
7%
2%
|
88 | 48 | 40 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
SCP
2 - 0
VIT
51%
24%
25%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SLB
1 - 1
SCP
48%
23%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SCP
2 - 1
GFC
67%
19%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
BOA
0 - 5
SCP
20%
23%
58%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2025 |
RIO
1 - 2
SCP
30%
24%
47%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |