Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
28.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2015 |
MON
3 - 0
SLB
24%
25%
52%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
AME
0 - 0
SLB
25%
25%
50%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2015 |
RBN
2 - 1
SLB
23%
24%
53%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
SLB
0 - 0
FIO
53%
23%
24%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
SLB
2 - 3
PSG
40%
24%
35%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
SCP
2 - 0
ROM
48%
26%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2015 |
AJA
2 - 2
SCP
16%
22%
62%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2015 |
SCP
2 - 2
SPB
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
RIO
0 - 1
SCP
16%
22%
61%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2015 |
SCP
4 - 1
SPB
54%
24%
22%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |