Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
BOA
0 - 1
SLB
7%
19%
75%
|
88 | 51 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
SLB
2 - 0
PAÇ
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
SLB
0 - 0
RIO
78%
15%
7%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
SLB
1 - 3
VCF
52%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
ARS
5 - 1
SLB
64%
21%
15%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SCP
1 - 0
ARO
68%
21%
11%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
ACA
1 - 1
SCP
17%
24%
59%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SPO
2 - 0
SCP
23%
24%
53%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SCP
0 - 1
EST
62%
22%
16%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
NAC
1 - 1
SCP
28%
25%
48%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |