Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
28.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2005 |
SLB
0 - 2
BMA
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
SLB
4 - 0
BOA
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
SCP
2 - 1
SLB
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2004 |
SLB
4 - 1
ADO
94%
5%
1%
|
86 | 40 | 46 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2004 |
SLB
1 - 0
PEN
80%
14%
5%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2005 |
GFC
0 - 3
SCP
22%
24%
55%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2005 |
NAC
3 - 2
SCP
26%
24%
50%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2005 |
SCP
2 - 1
SLB
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2005 |
SCP
4 - 1
PAM
90%
8%
2%
|
86 | 37 | 49 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2004 |
VIT
2 - 4
SCP
23%
24%
53%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |