Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
30.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2003 |
SPB
1 - 3
SLB
22%
23%
55%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2003 |
SLB
2 - 1
VAR
78%
15%
7%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
PAÇ
1 - 3
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
SLB
1 - 0
SAN
75%
16%
8%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
ACA
1 - 4
SLB
20%
22%
58%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2003 |
SCP
1 - 1
BMA
77%
16%
7%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
MAR
0 - 3
SCP
24%
24%
52%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
SCP
1 - 1
VIT
69%
20%
11%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2003 |
GFC
1 - 0
SCP
20%
22%
58%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
SCP
1 - 1
BOA
57%
24%
20%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |