Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
24.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1996 |
SLB
5 - 1
MAR
72%
19%
10%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
UDL
0 - 2
SLB
20%
24%
56%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
SLB
1 - 0
FEL
88%
9%
3%
|
88 | 63 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1996 |
SLB
0 - 1
FAR
73%
18%
9%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1996 |
CAM
0 - 0
SLB
16%
21%
64%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1996 |
LEC
1 - 1
SCP
10%
19%
71%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1996 |
SCP
4 - 1
CHA
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1996 |
FCP
0 - 3
SCP
54%
24%
22%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1996 |
GFC
0 - 2
SCP
18%
26%
57%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 1996 |
SCP
1 - 0
FCP
55%
25%
21%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |