Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
25.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
BOA
0 - 1
SLB
30%
28%
43%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1978 |
MON
2 - 0
SLB
63%
21%
17%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1978 |
SLB
3 - 0
VAR
79%
14%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1978 |
ACA
0 - 2
SLB
25%
27%
47%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1978 |
SLB
0 - 0
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1978 |
SCP
0 - 0
FCP
59%
22%
19%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1978 |
FCB
1 - 0
SCP
20%
25%
54%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1978 |
SCP
2 - 0
ACV
90%
7%
3%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1978 |
BMA
1 - 2
SCP
19%
25%
56%
|
88 | 60 | 28 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1978 |
BAN
1 - 0
SCP
26%
24%
50%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | -1 |