Benfica vs Sporting CP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.7%
Win probability
2.81
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.9%
5-3
1.1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.9%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.8%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
16.5%
17.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
ACA
3 - 3
SLB
13%
18%
70%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
SLB
4 - 1
FCP
69%
16%
15%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1939 |
CAS
0 - 1
SLB
9%
14%
78%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
FCB
1 - 1
SLB
13%
18%
69%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
SLB
3 - 4
BEL
77%
13%
10%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting CP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1939 |
SCP
4 - 4
FCP
69%
16%
15%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1939 |
FCB
0 - 3
SCP
14%
17%
69%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1939 |
BEL
0 - 2
SCP
49%
20%
31%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1939 |
SCP
7 - 0
APO
91%
6%
3%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1939 |
CAS
2 - 4
SCP
8%
13%
79%
|
84 | 54 | 30 | 0 |