Benfica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
3.46
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.7%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.5%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
2.2%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
1.3%
8-2
0.3%
9-3
<0%
+6
4.8%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
8.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
14%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
6.8%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.9%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
1.3%
1-1
4%
2-2
3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
9.5%
5.6%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
OLH
1 - 1
SLB
25%
23%
52%
|
87 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
SLB
8 - 1
SAL
85%
9%
5%
|
87 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
LEX
1 - 2
SLB
30%
23%
47%
|
87 | 69 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1961 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
SLB
57%
20%
23%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1961 |
PEÑ
5 - 0
SLB
54%
20%
26%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
SPC
1 - 2
ACA
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
SPC
1 - 1
BEL
33%
24%
43%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 1961 |
OLH
1 - 0
SPC
67%
18%
15%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
SPC
2 - 1
VIT
49%
24%
27%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
SLB
8 - 0
SPC
84%
10%
6%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | 0 |