Benfica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.3%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
6.8%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
ACA
0 - 3
SLB
22%
22%
56%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
SLB
3 - 0
CAL
91%
6%
3%
|
88 | 59 | 29 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
VIT
2 - 1
SLB
24%
22%
54%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
FAB
1 - 4
SLB
22%
22%
56%
|
88 | 64 | 24 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
SLB
4 - 0
SCP
62%
19%
19%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
SPC
3 - 0
TOR
67%
18%
15%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
SPC
3 - 1
ACA
61%
21%
19%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Dec. 1958 |
CAL
0 - 0
SPC
47%
23%
30%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1958 |
VIT
3 - 3
SPC
60%
20%
20%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1958 |
SPC
2 - 2
FAB
64%
19%
17%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |