Benfica vs SC Covilha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
88.6%
Win probability
4
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.5%
10-1
0.2%
+9
0.7%
8-0
1.2%
9-1
0.5%
10-2
0.1%
+8
1.8%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
1.1%
9-2
0.2%
10-3
<0%
+7
3.7%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
2.2%
8-2
0.5%
9-3
0.1%
+6
7%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
3.8%
7-2
1%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
<0%
+5
11.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
5.7%
6-2
1.7%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
15.7%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
7.2%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.5%
7-4
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.7%
7.1%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
2.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
7.1%
4.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
0.7%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1949 |
FCP
0 - 1
SLB
34%
21%
45%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
SLB
6 - 1
VST
84%
10%
7%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
SCP
1 - 2
SLB
61%
17%
22%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
SLB
4 - 0
EST
78%
12%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
LUS
2 - 3
SLB
6%
12%
82%
|
88 | 58 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
SC Covilha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 1950 |
SPC
2 - 1
BEL
18%
20%
62%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1949 |
ATL
4 - 3
SPC
71%
15%
14%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1949 |
SPC
3 - 2
SPB
52%
20%
28%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1949 |
OLH
3 - 1
SPC
73%
14%
13%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1949 |
FCP
5 - 1
SPC
85%
9%
6%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -1 |