Benfica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
SLB
1 - 2
SPB
47%
23%
30%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
SCP
1 - 0
SLB
52%
23%
25%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2024 |
SLB
3 - 0
EST
75%
16%
9%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 2
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
AVE
1 - 1
SLB
15%
21%
64%
|
89 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
SLB
1 - 2
SPB
47%
23%
30%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
SPB
1 - 2
CAS
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 2
SPB
19%
22%
59%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2024 |
SPB
3 - 3
FAM
66%
20%
14%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
ROM
3 - 0
SPB
64%
20%
16%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |