Benfica vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2018 |
MON
0 - 1
SLB
5%
13%
82%
|
85 | 41 | 44 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
MAR
0 - 1
SLB
13%
22%
65%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2018 |
SLB
1 - 0
AEK
55%
24%
22%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
VST
0 - 1
SLB
18%
23%
59%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
SLB
2 - 0
PAÇ
72%
18%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2018 |
VST
0 - 1
SPB
21%
25%
55%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2018 |
SPB
4 - 0
FEI
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
TON
0 - 1
SPB
16%
23%
61%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
SPB
2 - 0
MOR
75%
16%
9%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SPB
2 - 1
PRA
87%
10%
3%
|
86 | 52 | 34 | 0 |