Benfica vs Olhanense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2012 |
SLB
2 - 1
CEL
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 2
SLB
15%
21%
64%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
RIO
0 - 1
SLB
17%
23%
60%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2012 |
SLB
2 - 0
SPA
63%
20%
17%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SLB
3 - 0
VIT
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Olhanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
OLH
64%
20%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
OLH
1 - 0
BMA
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
PAÇ
0 - 0
OLH
60%
22%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
OLH
2 - 2
MOR
55%
25%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
OLH
3 - 0
1DE
84%
12%
4%
|
75 | 45 | 30 | 0 |