Benfica vs Real Sociedad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2023 |
LUS
1 - 4
SLB
2%
9%
90%
|
89 | 39 | 50 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
EST
0 - 1
SLB
13%
20%
67%
|
89 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
INT
1 - 0
SLB
80%
13%
7%
|
89 | 96 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
SLB
1 - 0
FCP
47%
24%
29%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
POR
1 - 3
SLB
11%
19%
70%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sociedad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
RSO
1 - 0
MLL
65%
21%
14%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ATM
2 - 1
RSO
52%
25%
23%
|
90 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2023 |
RBS
0 - 2
RSO
22%
25%
53%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
RSO
3 - 0
ATH
53%
25%
22%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
VCF
0 - 1
RSO
34%
27%
40%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |