Europa League Knock-outs Quarter-finals
Global 6-3
Benfica vs PSV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
SLB
1 - 2
FCP
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
PAÇ
1 - 5
SLB
20%
23%
57%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
PSG
1 - 1
SLB
41%
25%
35%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SLB
1 - 1
POR
85%
11%
4%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
SLB
2 - 1
PSG
60%
22%
18%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
PSV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
TWE
2 - 0
PSV
46%
26%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PSV
1 - 0
UTR
72%
18%
10%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2011 |
GLA
0 - 1
PSV
38%
26%
37%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
NEC
2 - 2
PSV
17%
24%
58%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
PSV
0 - 0
GLA
65%
20%
15%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | -1 |