Benfica vs Penafiel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
16.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.2%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
6.4%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
LEX
1 - 1
SLB
17%
24%
60%
|
88 | 69 | 19 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2008 |
SLB
2 - 0
NAP
63%
23%
15%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
SLB
2 - 0
SCP
44%
27%
30%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2008 |
PAÇ
3 - 4
SLB
19%
24%
57%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2008 |
NAP
3 - 2
SLB
25%
27%
48%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Penafiel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 2
PEN
55%
25%
20%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2008 |
PEN
0 - 2
VIZ
40%
28%
33%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
GFC
2 - 0
PEN
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
PEN
2 - 0
FAT
58%
24%
18%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
POR
1 - 1
PEN
46%
27%
27%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |