Benfica vs Moreirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.4%
Win probability
2.83
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.5%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
5.1%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2013 |
SLB
1 - 2
CHL
28%
22%
50%
|
88 | 92 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
FCP
2 - 1
SLB
46%
24%
29%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2013 |
SLB
1 - 1
EST
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2013 |
SLB
3 - 1
FEN
65%
19%
15%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
SLB
19%
24%
56%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Moreirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 1
VST
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2013 |
MOR
2 - 3
SPB
14%
22%
64%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ACA
1 - 0
MOR
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MOR
0 - 3
FCP
14%
22%
64%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SCP
3 - 2
MOR
65%
23%
12%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |