Benfica vs Monaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.9%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
49.7%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
SAN
0 - 1
SLB
26%
25%
49%
|
88 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
MON
0 - 1
SLB
66%
19%
15%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
SLB
3 - 2
MOR
68%
19%
13%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ESA
2 - 3
SLB
21%
23%
56%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
JUV
0 - 2
SLB
77%
16%
7%
|
88 | 99 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Monaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
MON
7 - 1
NAN
77%
16%
7%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2025 |
MON
0 - 1
SLB
66%
19%
15%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2025 |
PSG
4 - 1
MON
64%
19%
17%
|
93 | 97 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
MON
4 - 2
AUX
71%
18%
11%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
INT
3 - 0
MON
82%
12%
6%
|
93 | 100 | 7 | 0 |