Benfica vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Benfica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2005 |
VST
0 - 2
SLB
26%
25%
49%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
SLB
2 - 0
GFC
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 1
SLB
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2005 |
SLB
1 - 0
BMA
81%
13%
5%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2005 |
FCP
1 - 1
SLB
52%
24%
24%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 2
VIT
51%
27%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2005 |
SPB
1 - 1
MAR
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
1 - 1
ACA
58%
25%
18%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2005 |
MAR
0 - 2
BOA
39%
28%
33%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
MOR
1 - 0
MAR
41%
28%
31%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | -1 |